Unfortunately the National Hurricane Center shifted their cone back toward us last night after computer model guidance also shifted this way.
And remember how I told you the UKMET model is performing the best? It sends Laura right into Matagorda Bay. Do NOT let your guard down.
Here’s what else changed while you were sleeping last night.
Laura’s center was disrupted by the mountainous terrain of eastern Cuba, and that caused a center reformation farther SOUTH. Every time that occurs, it throws the track off course and farther west toward us.
Here are your new probabilities for hurricane and tropical storm force winds, and they’ve gone back up:
Galveston 14% Hurricane / 55% Tropical Storm
Houston: 8% / 42% Tropical Storm
I’ll post again after the new 10AM forecast track comes out. Let’s hope for the best, but be prepared for more shifts throughout the day.
(POSTED MONDAY 7:55AM 8/24/2020)