Let's talk about the cone.
Galveston and Houston are still in Laura's cone.
In the minds of the National Hurricane Center forecasters, the left side, middle, and right side of the cone have equal chances of taking a direct hit from what will likely be Hurricane Laura's eye.
That's why they continue to caution:
"Users are again reminded to not to focus on the exact details of the track or intensity forecasts as the average NHC track error at 72 h is around 100 miles and the average intensity error is around 15 mph (13 kt). In addition, wind, storm surge, and rainfall hazards will extend far from the center."
Trust me, I DO NOT want this storm coming here to my community but I DO want my community to be PREPARED and understand that we are NOT in the clear and may have to act QUICKLY should it come this way.
There is a substantial amount of reliable computer guidance well to the west (left) of Laura's current cone, so I do not want you to be surprised if any of the following happen later today:
1.) The track may shift westward, putting more of southeast Texas back in the cone.
2.) Portions of our coastline may be put under Hurricane, Tropical Storm, and Storm Surge Watches, and due to the uncertainty of this situation, those watches may extend outside of the cone.
3.) Evacuation orders may be issued for residents in particularly vulnerable sections of our coastline, like the Bolivar Peninsula. We are running out of time to get people along the coast out of harm's way IF it does track this way, so be ready just in case.
Yesterday I made reference to how Laura is mimicking the track of the 1900 Storm to underscore why we have to be on guard for a path to Texas. Let's hope the similarities end here near Cuba. One thing we all know has changed in the last 120 years is we have information and technology at our fingertips to help us know what is going on long before a storm arrives. Please continue to use these resources to stay informed and be prepared to act IF necessary. We have about 48 hours left to get our preparations in order.
We'll continue to keep you calmly and realistically informed and aware throughout the days ahead.
VIDEO UPDATES: abc13.com/forecast
(POSTED 11:42AM 8/24/2020)